HG Renewal or Ruin
Memo
Published November 25, 2025

Renewal or Ruin: The Stakes of Choosing the Right Model for Democrats

To see how Mamdani, Sherrill, and Spanberger’s support would translate at the presidential and senate level, we projected their respective 36%, 62%, and 69% share of moderate voters across every state, and the results were staggering.

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