The Republican Debt Limit Plan Will Devastate Public Safety

Speaker Kevin McCarthy has released legislation to increase the debt limit and roll back federal appropriations just below Fiscal Year 2022 levels.1 Taking appropriations back to this level would be a 9% cut compared to this year’s spending. Given press reports of intense resistance within the Republican caucus for shrinking defense discretionary spending, non-defense discretionary (and, as a result, public safety spending) is in even greater danger.2 If the Defense Department and discretionary veterans’ health spending is held harmless from the across-the-board cuts while dropping to total discretionary spending levels in the House GOP bill, McCarthy’s cut balloons to 22% of the smaller pie.3
But what does it mean to make this abrupt turnaround? The annual appropriations process covers about a third of all federal spending, but it’s often the most tangible piece of what the government does, especially with how the government keeps us safe. The FBI, Customs and Border Patrol (CBP), the TSA, food inspection, nuclear facility inspections—all these items are at risk when the Non-Defense Discretionary (or NDD) part of the budget is in the crosshairs. Under this likely to be proposed scenario of transferring all defense cuts to non-defense non-veterans’ health spending, there would be a cut of $23.5 billion from public safety next year. Sixteen cents from every dollar cut could harm public safety.
Based on letters to the House Appropriations Committee from federal agencies, and our own calculations to fill in the blanks, we lay out what these cuts would mean for federal safety programs, including law enforcement, the administration of justice, public health, and other forms of public safety.4
What These Cuts Mean for Law Enforcement
The Republican budget’s effect on sworn law enforcement could result in the loss of 28,500 officers that are employed by the federal government. These devastating budget cuts would gut up to $10 billion from federal law enforcement funding.
- The Federal Bureau of Investigations would see a budget cut of $2.8 billion, resulting in the loss of 11,000 agents, analysts, and staff.5
- The Drug Enforcement Agency would see a budget cut of $692 million, resulting in the loss of 1,600 officers.6
- Customs and Border Patrol would see a budget cut of $4 billion, resulting in the loss of 2,400 officers.7
- The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives would see a budget cut of $385 million dollars, resulting in the loss of 500 officers.8
- The Transportation Safety Administration would see a budget cut of $2 billion dollars, resulting in the loss of 12,400 officers.9
- The Capitol Police would see a budget cut of $162 million dollars, resulting in the loss of 600 sworn officers.10
- Federal support to local law enforcement through Byrne grants would decrease by an average of $30,000 per department, stifling law enforcement and justice proceedings in every state.11
What These Cuts Do to Our Judicial System
Our judicial system is central to the administration of justice in our country. Between prosecution, trials by jury, and federal prisons, there are $4.5 billion of resources at risk under the Republican budget, with the potential loss of 12,000 justice jobs.
- The Federal Bureau of Prisons would see a budget cut of $1.9 billion, resulting in the loss of 8,700 prison guards and support staff.12
- The Federal Court System would see a budget cut of $1.9 billion, crippling the timely administration of justice throughout the country.13
- Federal Prosecutors in charge of prosecuting everything from corruption to hate crimes, to terrorism would see a budget cut of $580 million, resulting in the loss of 3,400 prosecutors and support staff.14
How These Cuts Gut Public Health
The Food and Drug Administration protects our public health by ensuring the security and safety of food, drugs, and medical devices. With the Republican budget, nearly $1 billion of resources are at risk, with the potential loss of 2,300 jobs.
- The Food and Drug Administration would see a budget cut of $790 million, resulting in the loss of 2,300 staff.15
- Within FDA, Federal Food Inspectors making sure we don’t get sick from what we eat would see a budget cut of $250 million, resulting in the loss of 1,800 inspectors and support staff.16
How Else Do the Cuts Make Us Less Safe?
The Republican budget cuts would gut many other parts of public safety in the United States.
- Federal Aviation Administration and Air Traffic Control would see a budget cut of $3.3 billion, jeopardizing 9,400 positions. This would back up American airspace and slow the transportation of goods and people across the country.17
- The Nuclear Regulatory Commission would see a budget cut of $200 million, resulting in the loss of 600 staff across the country that are in charge of protecting Americans from the risks of radioactive materials.18
- The Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service would see a budget cut of $258 million, resulting in the loss of 1,900 inspectors and support staff.19
- The Federal Emergency Management Agency would see a budget cut of $2.5 billion, resulting in the loss of 3,200 staff that help Americans cope and recover when disaster strikes in their community.20
- The Mine Safety and Health Administration would see a budget cut of $85 million, resulting in the loss of 400 staff that enforce safety standards in mines and work to improve the health of the nation’s mines.21
- The National Transportation and Safety Board would see a budget cut of $28 million, resulting in the loss of 100 staff that investigate safety incidents, like crashes or derailments, in all forms of transportation.22
- The US Army Corps of Engineers would see a budget cut of $1.8 billion, leading to the loss of 5,000 civilian workers that ensure the nation’s infrastructure remains sound.23
Endnotes
Quigley, Aidan, Paul M. Krawzak and David Lerman. “McCarthy concessions raise stakes on budget, debt limit”. Article,Roll Call, 9 Jan. 2023. https://rollcall.com/2023/01/09/mccarthy-concessions-raise-stakes-on-budget-debt-limit/. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. And Grayer, Annie. Tweet, 10 Jan. 2023. https://twitter.com/AnnieGrayerCNN/status/1612834961454936064. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. And 118th Congress. “Limit, Save, Grow Act“. House Resolution, Apr. 2023. https://www.speaker.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/LSGA_xml.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Wong, Scott and Peter Nicholas. “Biden and McCarthy barely speak, dimming prospects for a debt ceiling deal”. Article, CBS News, 28 Mar. 2023. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-mccarthy-barely-speak-dimming-prospects-debt-ceiling-deal-rcna77073. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Returning to FY 2022 funding levels represents an 8.8% cut to total federal discretionary funding. Returning to FY 2022 would cut $76 billion from Defense Discretionary Spending, $66 billion from Non-Defense Discretionary Spending, of which $22 billion is from the Veterans Affairs Medical Care Program. Under the GOP’s plan to refrain from cutting Defense Discretionary and this Veterans Affairs spending which was addressed in 2022’s Sergeant First Class Heath Robinson Honoring our Promise to Address Comprehensive Toxics (PACT) Act, the $98 billion would be reallocated to the remainder of Non-Defense Discretionary. A combined $142 billion cut to this Non-Defense Discretionary spending would reduce its budget authority for 2024 by approximately 22%. The discretionary levels in the Limit, Save, Grow Act would result in a slightly higher combined cut of $147 billion. The agency budget cuts discussed in this memo correlate to a 22% cut to their FY 2023 budgets, regardless of how much their budgets grew from FY 2022 to FY 2023. Due to inflation from year-to-year effective cuts from 2024 to 2022 levels may be larger.
This memo shows the results of a simple return to total FY 2022 discretionary levels redistributing any cuts from defense to non-defense across the board. Numbers for these cuts are, if available, from the respective agency response letters to House Appropriations Ranking Member Rosa DeLauro. Other numbers are adjusted so that agencies are compared on a same-to-same basis as agencies made different assumptions about how to interpret these cuts. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/responses-to-delauro-letters-on-potential-impacts-of-proposed-house-republican-cuts. Other cuts are calculated by applying a 22% cut to the FY 2023 enacted non-defense discretionary funding reported in each agency’s FY 2024 budget justification. The corresponding job losses represent a 22% cut to staffing levels. Agencies may choose to reach that level through attrition, hiring freezes, furloughs, or a combination of the three, thus it is most comparable to a cut in full time equivalencies (FTEs). Numbers are rounded.
Uriarte, Carlos. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 18 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Justice%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Uriarte, Carlos. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 18 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Justice%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. & Drug Enforcement Agency. “FY 2024 Budget Request at a Glance”. Budget summary, 8 Mar. 2023. https://www.justice.gov/d9/2023-03/dea_bs_section_ii_chapter_omb_cleared_3-8-23.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Buetow, Zephranie. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 19 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Homeland%20Security%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. & U.S. Customs and Border Protection. “Fiscal Year 2024 Congressional Justification”. Budget Overview, Mar. 2023. https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/2023-03/U.S.%20CUSTOMS%20AND%20BORDER%20PROTECTION_Remediated.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Uriarte, Carlos. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 18 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Justice%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. & Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives. “FY 2024 Budget Request at a Glance”. Budget summary, 8 Mar. 2023. https://www.justice.gov/d9/2023-03/atf_bs_section_ii_chapter_omb_cleared_3-8-23.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Transportation Security Administration. “Fiscal Year 2024 Congressional Justification”. Budget Overview, Mar. 2023. https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/2023-03/TRANSPORTATION%20SECURITY%20ADMINISTRATION_Remediated.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
White House Office of Management and Budget. “Budget of the U.S. Government Fiscal Year 2024”. Appendix, March 2023. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/appendix_fy2024.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Uriarte, Carlos. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 18 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Justice%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Federal Prison System. “FY 2024 Budget Request at a Glance”. Budget summary, 8 Mar. 2023. https://www.justice.gov/d9/2023-03/29-bop_bs_section_ii_chapter_omb_cleared_3.8.23_1045.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. “The Judiciary: Fiscal Year 2024 Congressional Budget Summary”. Budget Summary, 2023. https://www.uscourts.gov/sites/default/files/FY%202024%20Congressional%20Budget%20Summary.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Uriarte, Carlos. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 18 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Justice%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. & U.S. Attorneys. “FY 2024 Budget Request at a Glance”. Budget summary, 9 Mar. 2023. https://www.justice.gov/d9/2023-03/usa_fy_24_pb_budsum_ii_omb_cleared_3.9.23.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Food and Drug Administration. “Fiscal Year 2024: Justification of Estimates for Appropriations Committees”. Budget justification, Mar. 2023. https://www.fda.gov/media/166182/download. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Vilsack, Thomas J. “Response to Representative DeLauro”. Letter, 17 Mar. 2023. https://democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/democrats.appropriations.house.gov/files/Department%20of%20Agriculture%20Letter%20-%20Impact%20of%20Spending%20Cuts.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Federal Aviation Administration. “Budget Estimates: Fiscal Year 2024”. Budget submission, Mar. 2023. https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/2023-03/FAA_FY_2024_President_Budget_508.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Nuclear Regulatory Commission. “Congressional Budget Justification Fiscal Year 2024”. Budget justification, Mar. 2023. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2306/ML23069A000.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
U.S. Department of Agriculture. “FY 2024 Budget Summary”. Budget Summary, Mar. 2024. https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/2024-usda-budget-summary.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
Federal Emergency Management Agency. “Fiscal Year 2024 Congressional Justification”. Budget Overview, Mar. 2023. https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/2023-03/FEDERAL%20EMERGENCY%20MANAGEMENT%20AGENCY_Remediated.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023. FEMA has received tens of billions of emergency funding from the Disaster Relief Fund because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This budget cut reflects the agency’s base funding level only.
Mine Safety and Health Administration. “FY 2024 Congressional Budget Justification”. Budget justification, Mar. 2023, https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/general/budget/2024/CBJ-2024-V2-13.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
National Transportation Safety Board. “Fiscal Year 2024 Budget Request”. Budget request, Mar. 2023. https://www.ntsb.gov/Documents/Fiscal%20Year%202024%20Budget%20Request.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
White House Office of Management and Budget. “Budget of the U.S. Government Fiscal Year 2024”. Appendix, March 2023. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/appendix_fy2024.pdf. Accessed 21 Apr. 2023.
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